This week's picks

Season record

Derived live from every graded pick

Last 5 picks

Track record

Every pick is published with a locked timestamp, then graded. These numbers are computed from the full ledger below — they can't be cherry-picked.

✓ Jump to the ledger ↓

Cumulative units

Week ↕	Pick ↕	Confidence ↕	Odds @ publish	CLV ↕	Line move	Result ↕

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Model confidence since publish

Grading rules

This pick was published with a locked timestamp and graded against the closing result from our odds source. Spread and total picks grade against the line at publish; pushes return the stake. Units are fixed at publish and never edited.

The season record and ROI on the track record page are derived live from every graded pick — there is no manual override.

Other picks this week

How it works

Signal, not noise.

The model prices every NFL game each week. A confidence threshold cuts that to a candidate set, and engineers ship only the 3–6 highest-conviction picks. Every one is timestamped, published, and graded in public.

01

Model the slateML model trained on 8 seasons of NFL data produces probability outputs for every game, every week.

02

Filter for convictionA confidence threshold reduces the full board to a small candidate set — most weeks, under ten.

03

Engineer reviewHuman review catches what models miss. Only the 3–6 strongest picks ship, each with assigned units.

04

Grade in publicEvery pick is locked at publish and graded after the game. The record is computed from the ledger — never typed in.

Baseline for operators

Your brand. Our signal.

White-label Baseline picks for cappers, creators, and community operators. Delivered by API, embeddable widget, or straight into your Discord — with a public, verifiable track record your subscribers can check.

3–6

picks per week

8 yrs

of training data

—

2025 record, graded publicly

<5 min

publish-to-delivery

API

REST feedPull the week's picks with confidence, units, and odds. Webhook fires the moment a pick publishes.

WIDGET

Embeddable cardCopy-paste embed, auto-themed to your site. Deep-links to your paywall, not ours.

BOT

Discord / TelegramPicks post to your channels under your brand the moment they ship. Grading updates follow automatically.

PROOF

Shared ledgerPoint subscribers at a public record page for your feed. The numbers come from the same ledger we grade against.